Hernán Cortés vs Castuera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+143%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CDT
0 - 4
HER
51%
22%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
HER
1 - 1
SAM
25%
23%
52%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
HER
4 - 2
MON
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
GIM
4 - 5
HER
67%
18%
15%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
HER
4 - 1
OLY
39%
24%
37%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
ZAL
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAB
1 - 1
CAS
46%
23%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
GUA
33%
23%
44%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CDT
1 - 1
CAS
57%
20%
22%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 0
MON
61%
20%
19%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |