Herkol vs Alken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
18.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-73%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herkol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ZNH
0 - 0
HER
48%
22%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
GRO
2 - 2
HER
60%
19%
21%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
HER
0 - 2
VVZ
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
HER
2 - 2
GRO
47%
21%
32%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
EKS
1 - 4
HER
59%
19%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Alken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ALK
5 - 1
EEN
56%
21%
24%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ACH
0 - 1
ALK
64%
18%
18%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ZNH
2 - 2
ALK
67%
18%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ALK
1 - 4
THA
24%
22%
55%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BIL
4 - 2
ALK
82%
11%
7%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |