Herk vs Alken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ZNH
2 - 4
HER
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
GRO
2 - 1
HER
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
HER
1 - 3
VVZ
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
THA
0 - 0
HER
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HER
0 - 0
JHF
57%
20%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ALK
3 - 2
BRE
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
EKS
2 - 0
ALK
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ALK
1 - 3
KEW
17%
19%
64%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HEL
5 - 0
ALK
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ALK
2 - 0
HER
41%
22%
37%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |