Heriot-Watt vs Kelty Hearts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
71.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
HER
2 - 3
LEI
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
ORM
1 - 3
HER
11%
14%
75%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TWR
0 - 6
HER
4%
9%
87%
|
28 | 5 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
PRE
1 - 1
HER
38%
22%
40%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
PEE
4 - 1
HER
18%
18%
64%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -3 |
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
KHE
11 - 1
TWR
92%
7%
2%
|
50 | 5 | 45 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
KHE
12 - 1
PEE
87%
9%
4%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
KHE
9 - 0
COL
87%
9%
4%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
KHE
5 - 0
TYN
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
KHE
7 - 0
STI
86%
10%
4%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | +1 |