Heriot-Watt vs Easthouses Lily analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
BLA
0 - 4
HER
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
HER
3 - 0
SPA
32%
25%
44%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +3 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
HER
2 - 4
EDI
23%
23%
53%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
HER
1 - 1
AFC
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
HER
4 - 0
DAL
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Easthouses Lily
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
CIV
3 - 0
EAS
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
AFC
5 - 2
EAS
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
DAL
2 - 1
EAS
34%
25%
42%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
EAS
0 - 2
WHI
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
LOT
2 - 1
EAS
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |