Hereford United vs Wigan Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1993 |
HER
0 - 1
WIM
4%
16%
79%
|
46 | 84 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
HER
1 - 1
NOR
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1993 |
SCU
1 - 2
HER
68%
20%
13%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1993 |
HER
3 - 4
WYC
42%
28%
30%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
HER
1 - 2
LIN
44%
28%
28%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
WIG
1 - 2
SCA
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1993 |
DON
3 - 1
WIG
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1993 |
ROC
1 - 2
WIG
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
WIG
1 - 1
WYC
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1993 |
ROT
4 - 2
WIG
59%
23%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |