Hereford United vs Scarborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2001 |
HER
0 - 0
KIN
64%
20%
15%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
FOR
1 - 1
HER
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
HER
3 - 1
RUS
38%
27%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2001 |
DOV
1 - 0
HER
33%
26%
40%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2001 |
HER
0 - 1
WOK
52%
25%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Scarborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
SCA
2 - 2
BOS
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
NUN
1 - 2
SCA
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2001 |
SCA
1 - 1
AFC
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
SCA
0 - 1
KET
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2001 |
KIN
2 - 2
SCA
36%
26%
39%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |