Hereford United vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
40.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
CHE
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
HER
1 - 0
CHA
20%
25%
56%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 2
HER
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
HER
0 - 1
MKD
15%
24%
61%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 1
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
DAR
0 - 1
BCF
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
BCF
0 - 2
WBA
21%
24%
56%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
BCF
0 - 3
BOU
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
BCF
0 - 1
STF
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
STF
0 - 1
BCF
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |