Hereford vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
STA
0 - 2
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
KID
1 - 1
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
LEA
0 - 0
HER
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
HER
3 - 1
KID
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
NAN
0 - 1
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
KID
2 - 2
YOR
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
YOR
1 - 0
GUI
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
BRA
4 - 2
YOR
20%
23%
57%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
ASH
3 - 3
YOR
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
YOR
1 - 1
SPE
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |