Hereford vs Truro City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
HER
2 - 1
GAT
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
GUI
3 - 0
HER
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
BOS
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
CHE
4 - 1
HER
53%
23%
23%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
BRA
29%
26%
45%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
WIM
2 - 2
WHI
31%
22%
47%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
WHI
1 - 0
GOS
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
WHI
2 - 1
WIM
60%
21%
20%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
FAR
0 - 2
WHI
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
WHI
0 - 2
WES
52%
21%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |