Hereford vs Leamington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
HER
4 - 0
LYM
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LYM
2 - 2
HER
18%
21%
61%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
HER
0 - 2
SPE
28%
25%
48%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 0
HER
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
HER
1 - 4
FYL
17%
21%
62%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Leamington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
ALF
1 - 0
LEA
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LEA
3 - 1
SOA
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LEA
2 - 0
BOS
32%
27%
42%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
LEA
2 - 1
GAT
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
LEA
0 - 3
CUR
54%
25%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |