Hereford vs Fylde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HER
0 - 1
FAR
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
HAU
1 - 0
HER
15%
19%
67%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
HER
1 - 2
BAT
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
HER
0 - 0
HAU
76%
15%
10%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FYL
1 - 0
BOS
60%
23%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
GUI
2 - 4
FYL
19%
21%
60%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
FYL
0 - 1
ROC
31%
23%
46%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
FYL
0 - 1
WIG
27%
23%
50%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
FYL
0 - 1
BBU
14%
20%
66%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |