Hereford vs Farsley Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
WOK
35%
25%
41%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
ALD
1 - 1
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
HER
2 - 0
BRA
26%
26%
48%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
LEA
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
STA
0 - 2
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Farsley Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CHO
3 - 2
FAR
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
FAR
1 - 0
DAR
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 4
BOS
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -3 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
GUI
2 - 2
FAR
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SOL
4 - 0
FAR
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |