Hereford vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
55.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
HER
2 - 2
SOU
30%
26%
45%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ALF
2 - 0
HER
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
HER
1 - 1
CUR
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
HER
1 - 1
BRA
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
GAT
2 - 0
HER
68%
20%
13%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
KID
1 - 1
DAR
31%
24%
46%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
DAR
0 - 3
GUI
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 0
DAR
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 2
DAR
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
DAR
3 - 0
ALF
65%
21%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |