Hércules vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
SLA
1 - 1
HER
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
HER
1 - 3
NUM
40%
27%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
CDT
0 - 1
HER
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
HER
2 - 0
ALB
41%
28%
32%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
HER
2 - 0
NUM
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
NUM
0 - 2
SPO
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
SPO
1 - 0
ALB
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
XER
0 - 2
SPO
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
SPO
1 - 1
ELC
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
G74
1 - 0
SPO
15%
22%
62%
|
76 | 31 | 45 | -1 |