Hércules vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
56%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
SEV
0 - 0
HER
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
HER
1 - 1
ZAR
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
GRA
2 - 1
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
HER
3 - 3
ESP
33%
30%
37%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
PON
2 - 1
HER
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1967 |
RMA
0 - 2
INT
66%
18%
16%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1967 |
RMA
1 - 1
UDL
85%
11%
4%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
RMA
3 - 0
SEV
84%
11%
5%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1967 |
INT
1 - 0
RMA
53%
23%
25%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
ZAR
2 - 1
RMA
47%
24%
29%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |