Hércules vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
NUM
1 - 1
HER
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
UDL
3 - 0
HER
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
HER
0 - 0
EIB
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALA
3 - 1
HER
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
HER
0 - 2
DEP
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALC
25%
29%
46%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
RJA
2 - 0
DEP
16%
24%
60%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 1
RJA
76%
17%
7%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
RJA
3 - 2
MUR
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SAB
3 - 0
RJA
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |