Hércules vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
CFC
3 - 1
HER
46%
22%
32%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
HER
1 - 0
UDL
60%
21%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
HER
2 - 1
LEV
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
MAL
3 - 2
HER
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
HER
1 - 0
REC
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
RJA
3 - 0
LEV
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
MAL
3 - 0
RJA
59%
20%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
RJA
6 - 2
REC
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
CAD
2 - 1
RJA
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
RJA
3 - 0
ALB
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |