Hercílio Luz vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
45.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
FFL
3 - 0
HER
74%
18%
8%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
HER
2 - 2
MET
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
HER
78%
17%
5%
|
43 | 76 | 33 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
MAR
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 0
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CAC
1 - 3
MET
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 2
CAC
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CAC
4 - 0
ECP
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
JEC
1 - 1
CAC
39%
24%
38%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
CAC
2 - 1
BRU
19%
21%
60%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |