Heracles vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
VOL
0 - 2
HER
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
HER
0 - 0
BVV
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
GAE
2 - 2
HER
48%
24%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2002 |
HER
2 - 3
FCE
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
HEL
2 - 0
HER
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2003 |
VVV
0 - 0
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
ADO
5 - 1
VVV
76%
15%
8%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
VVV
0 - 1
MVV
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2002 |
VVV
1 - 2
APE
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2002 |
EIN
0 - 2
VVV
61%
20%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |