Eredivisie Round 19

Heracles vs Vitesse analysis

Heracles Vitesse
70 ELO 70
-2.4% Tilt 5.4%
382º General ELO ranking 1143º
15º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
49%
Heracles
25.9%
Draw
25.1%
Vitesse

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
Heracles
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.1%
Win probability
Vitesse
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heracles
-10%
+2%
Vitesse

ELO progression

Heracles
Vitesse
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heracles
Heracles
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Dec. 2009
HER
Heracles
0 - 2
Go Ahead Eagles
GAE
51%
24%
25%
72 69 3 0
18 Dec. 2009
HER
Heracles
1 - 0
VVV Venlo
VVV
44%
26%
30%
72 73 1 0
13 Dec. 2009
ADO
ADO Den Haag
1 - 4
Heracles
HER
37%
27%
36%
71 64 7 +1
06 Dec. 2009
HER
Heracles
3 - 1
Heerenveen
SCH
27%
25%
47%
70 80 10 +1
28 Nov. 2009
HER
Heracles
3 - 2
Roda JC
RJC
46%
26%
28%
69 68 1 +1

Matches

Vitesse
Vitesse
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jan. 2010
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
2 - 1
Vitesse
VIT
56%
25%
20%
70 76 6 0
13 Dec. 2009
VIT
Vitesse
2 - 2
Utrecht
UTR
45%
27%
29%
70 75 5 0
04 Dec. 2009
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 2
Vitesse
VIT
70%
20%
10%
68 85 17 +2
29 Nov. 2009
VIT
Vitesse
1 - 5
Ajax
AJA
16%
20%
64%
69 88 19 -1
21 Nov. 2009
TWE
Twente
1 - 0
Vitesse
VIT
73%
18%
10%
69 86 17 0