Heracles vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SPA
1 - 1
HER
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
HER
0 - 1
RKC
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
VIT
3 - 0
HER
60%
22%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
HER
1 - 1
PSV
16%
19%
65%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
WIL
4 - 0
HER
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
TEL
2 - 0
HEL
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
RJC
1 - 1
TEL
41%
26%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
TEL
1 - 1
FCO
66%
20%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
PSV
3 - 0
TEL
36%
26%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
TEL
6 - 1
BOS
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +2 |