Heracles vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
HER
1 - 2
PAO
32%
27%
42%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
VOL
2 - 1
HER
34%
24%
43%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
HER
2 - 1
ROD
78%
15%
8%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
GAE
49%
23%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
HER
1 - 2
SPA
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
NEC
3 - 0
RKC
54%
22%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 1
NEC
19%
20%
62%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
AZA
4 - 1
NEC
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
NEC
2 - 1
FCD
76%
16%
9%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
GAE
2 - 1
NEC
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |