Heracles vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
HER
2 - 2
TWE
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
RKC
3 - 0
HER
22%
25%
53%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
10%
16%
75%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 1
HER
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
GRO
37%
26%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
ZWO
4 - 1
SCH
25%
22%
53%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
FCE
3 - 2
ZWO
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
GRO
1 - 0
ZWO
52%
26%
21%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
ZWO
1 - 1
RKC
66%
20%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
UTR
3 - 3
ZWO
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |