Heracles vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
54.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
HER
3 - 0
TEL
67%
19%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SPA
1 - 1
HER
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
HER
0 - 1
RKC
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
VIT
3 - 0
HER
60%
22%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
HER
1 - 1
PSV
16%
19%
65%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
FCD
2 - 4
UTR
7%
14%
79%
|
81 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
UTR
2 - 1
TWE
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
GRO
0 - 0
UTR
21%
23%
56%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
ZWO
3 - 3
UTR
24%
22%
54%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
UTR
1 - 1
SCH
51%
23%
27%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |