Heracles vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
52.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
EXC
2 - 1
HER
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
RJC
4 - 2
HER
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
HER
1 - 1
FEY
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
VVV
1 - 0
HER
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
HER
3 - 0
WIL
71%
19%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
TWE
2 - 2
INT
30%
28%
43%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
VVV
1 - 2
TWE
22%
26%
53%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
TWE
4 - 0
UTR
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 3
TWE
24%
26%
50%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
TWE
0 - 0
SCH
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |