Heracles vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
53.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
NEC
0 - 2
HER
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
HER
1 - 0
RKC
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
SPA
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
VVV
1 - 0
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
HER
0 - 3
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
TWE
0 - 0
STB
65%
22%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
TWE
2 - 1
VVV
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
JOU
0 - 8
TWE
13%
21%
66%
|
85 | 31 | 54 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SCH
0 - 2
TWE
44%
25%
30%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
FEN
1 - 2
TWE
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |