Heracles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
70.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ADO
2 - 0
HER
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
HER
0 - 2
ZWO
47%
24%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
GRO
3 - 0
HER
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
HAN
4 - 1
HER
49%
23%
27%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 3
HER
32%
24%
44%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
AJA
6 - 0
VVV
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FEY
6 - 2
AJA
28%
23%
49%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
AJA
3 - 1
SCH
71%
16%
12%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 4
SCH
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 4
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |