Hennef 05 vs FC BW Friesdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
BWF
2 - 1
H05
19%
20%
61%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
BFR
3 - 0
H05
15%
19%
66%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -3 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
H05
1 - 2
SPF
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
HUR
0 - 4
H05
14%
19%
67%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
H05
5 - 1
VFL
75%
15%
9%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
FC BW Friesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
BWF
2 - 1
H05
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
SCF
8 - 0
BWF
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
DUR
4 - 0
BWF
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
BWF
7 - 3
SVD
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 2
BWF
36%
23%
41%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |