Henderson Eels vs Southern United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henderson Eels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
REA
0 - 4
HEE
8%
12%
80%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
HEE
2 - 2
KOS
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
HEE
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
HEE
0 - 2
SOL
42%
21%
37%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
HOC
2 - 1
HEE
15%
16%
69%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 2
WAU
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
REA
0 - 1
SOU
22%
19%
59%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SOU
3 - 1
SOS
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
KOS
5 - 1
SOU
83%
10%
6%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SOU
3 - 2
JFC
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |