Henderson Eels vs Marist Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
25.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henderson Eels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
HEE
6 - 1
GUA
55%
20%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
WES
1 - 5
HEE
62%
18%
20%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
HEE
1 - 4
SOL
51%
20%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MAL
1 - 2
HEE
47%
22%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 6
HEE
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marist Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
WES
49%
22%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 3
KOS
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
MAL
54%
20%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
REA
52%
20%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 4
SOL
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |