Henan FC vs Guangdong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
QIN
0 - 1
HEN
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
HEN
1 - 2
HBF
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
JIA
1 - 0
HEN
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
YAN
1 - 0
HEN
49%
25%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
HEN
3 - 0
GUO
70%
20%
11%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Guangdong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
GUA
3 - 0
GUO
75%
17%
9%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
CHA
4 - 2
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
GUA
5 - 1
SHA
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
XIA
3 - 1
GUA
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
GUA
3 - 2
NAN
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |