Hemsworth MW vs Thackley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hemsworth MW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
HEM
0 - 2
SIL
56%
20%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 1
HEM
13%
17%
70%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
HEM
2 - 1
GAR
23%
19%
58%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +3 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
HEM
1 - 0
GOO
76%
14%
11%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HEM
3 - 1
HAL
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Thackley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
THA
2 - 4
AFC
16%
18%
66%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 2
THA
36%
22%
42%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
THA
1 - 2
HAN
30%
22%
49%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
KNA
1 - 1
THA
60%
19%
21%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 1
THA
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |