National League South . Jor. 13

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Eastbourne Borough analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town Eastbourne Borough
39 ELO 43
-0.5% Tilt -4%
5355º General ELO ranking 6043º
240º Country ELO ranking 289º
ELO win probability
36.6%
Hemel Hempstead Town
25.3%
Draw
38.1%
Eastbourne Borough

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
Hemel Hempstead Town
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.1%
Win probability
Eastbourne Borough
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hemel Hempstead Town
-34%
+51%
Eastbourne Borough

Points and table prediction

Hemel Hempstead Town
Their league position
Eastbourne Borough
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
23º
13º
69
22º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ebbsfleet United
100
103
100%
Dartford
82
85
100%
Chelmsford City
78
81
83%
Oxford City
79
79
83%
Worthing
76
76
100%
Braintree Town
73
74
70%
St. Albans City
72
73
70%
Havant & Waterlooville
70
70
37%
Tonbridge Angels
10º
67
70
0%
Eastbourne Borough
69
69
10º
60.5%
Farnborough
11º
66
67
11º
81.5%
Bath City
12º
65
65
12º
100%
Hemel Hempstead Town
13º
61
61
13º
53.5%
Chippenham Town
14º
59
60
14º
53.5%
Taunton Town
15º
58
58
15º
83%
Welling United
16º
56
57
16º
100%
Hampton & Richmond
17º
53
53
17º
76.5%
Slough Town
18º
50
51
18º
53.5%
Dulwich Hamlet FC
20º
48
49
19º
62.5%
Weymouth
21º
45
48
20º
55.5%
Dover Athletic
19º
48
48
21º
55.5%
Concord Rangers
22º
45
45
22º
72.5%
Cheshunt
23º
43
43
23º
79.5%
Hungerford Town
24º
40
40
24º
94.5%
Expected probabilities
Hemel Hempstead Town
Eastbourne Borough
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Hemel Hempstead Town
Eastbourne Borough
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hemel Hempstead Town
Hemel Hempstead Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2022
KIN
Kings Lynn Town
1 - 1
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
67%
19%
14%
38 49 11 0
12 Nov. 2022
OXF
Oxford City
2 - 2
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
73%
17%
11%
38 47 9 0
08 Nov. 2022
HEM
Hemel Hempstead Town
3 - 2
Hungerford Town
HUN
64%
19%
17%
38 30 8 0
05 Nov. 2022
HAV
Havant & Waterlooville
2 - 0
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
72%
17%
11%
38 48 10 0
29 Oct. 2022
HEM
Hemel Hempstead Town
1 - 1
Ebbsfleet United
EBB
12%
19%
69%
38 54 16 0

Matches

Eastbourne Borough
Eastbourne Borough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2022
EBB
Ebbsfleet United
0 - 1
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
72%
18%
11%
41 55 14 0
12 Nov. 2022
EAS
Eastbourne Borough
1 - 0
St. Albans City
STA
42%
24%
34%
40 44 4 +1
08 Nov. 2022
FAR
Farnborough
0 - 0
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
60%
22%
18%
39 46 7 +1
05 Nov. 2022
EAS
Eastbourne Borough
3 - 0
Cheshunt
CHE
54%
22%
24%
38 37 1 +1
29 Oct. 2022
CHM
Chelmsford City
5 - 0
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
57%
23%
21%
39 44 5 -1
X