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Conference South. Matchday 40

Hemel Hempstead Town Dorking Wanderers
11 ELO 17
-18% Tilt 83%
9183º General ELO ranking 6095º
670º Country ELO ranking 610º
ELO win probability
21.6%
Hemel Hempstead Town
21.8%
Draw
56.6%
Dorking Wanderers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
Hemel Hempstead Town
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
56.6%
Win probability
Dorking Wanderers
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hemel Hempstead Town
+37%
+63%
Dorking Wanderers

Points and table prediction

Hemel Hempstead Town
Their league position
Dorking Wanderers
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
21º
10º
33
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dorking Wanderers
33
70
12%
Eastbourne Borough
33
66
9%
Dartford
33
59
7%
Oxford City
29
69
6%
Hampton & Richmond
29
61
5%
St. Albans City
29
63
6%
Hungerford Town
28
58
6%
Ebbsfleet United
25
57
10º
5%
Havant & Waterlooville
20
63
6%
Hemel Hempstead Town
10º
20
53
11º
5%
Maidstone United
11º
19
64
5%
Chelmsford City
12º
16
47
16º
5%
Dulwich Hamlet FC
13º
16
50
12º
5%
Tonbridge Angels
14º
16
46
18º
5%
Billericay Town
15º
16
47
17º
5%
Chippenham Town
16º
16
41
21º
6%
Concord Rangers
17º
14
46
19º
6%
Bath City
18º
13
48
15º
5%
Braintree Town
19º
13
41
20º
6%
Welling United
20º
12
49
14º
6%
Slough Town
21º
12
49
13º
5%
Expected probabilities
Hemel Hempstead Town
Dorking Wanderers
Champion
5% 12%
Promotion playoffs
28% 42%
Mid-table
63% 44%
Relegation
5% 2%

ELO progression

Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
Dorking Wanderers
DOR
Havant & Waterlooville
HAV
Maidstone United
MAI
Braintree Town
BRA
Ebbsfleet United
EBB
Next opponents in ELO points