National League South . Jor. 24

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Braintree Town analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town Braintree Town
42 ELO 47
-3.5% Tilt -8.4%
5365º General ELO ranking 3679º
240º Country ELO ranking 126º
ELO win probability
30%
Hemel Hempstead Town
25.9%
Draw
44.1%
Braintree Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
Hemel Hempstead Town
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
44.1%
Win probability
Braintree Town
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hemel Hempstead Town
-35%
+35%
Braintree Town

Points and table prediction

Hemel Hempstead Town
Their league position
Braintree Town
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
23º
13º
73
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ebbsfleet United
100
103
100%
Dartford
82
85
100%
Chelmsford City
78
81
83%
Oxford City
79
79
83%
Worthing
76
76
100%
Braintree Town
73
74
70%
St. Albans City
72
73
70%
Havant & Waterlooville
70
70
37%
Tonbridge Angels
10º
67
70
0%
Eastbourne Borough
69
69
10º
60.5%
Farnborough
11º
66
67
11º
81.5%
Bath City
12º
65
65
12º
100%
Hemel Hempstead Town
13º
61
61
13º
53.5%
Chippenham Town
14º
59
60
14º
53.5%
Taunton Town
15º
58
58
15º
83%
Welling United
16º
56
57
16º
100%
Hampton & Richmond
17º
53
53
17º
76.5%
Slough Town
18º
50
51
18º
53.5%
Dulwich Hamlet FC
20º
48
49
19º
62.5%
Weymouth
21º
45
48
20º
55.5%
Dover Athletic
19º
48
48
21º
55.5%
Concord Rangers
22º
45
45
22º
72.5%
Cheshunt
23º
43
43
23º
79.5%
Hungerford Town
24º
40
40
24º
94.5%
Expected probabilities
Hemel Hempstead Town
Braintree Town
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Hemel Hempstead Town
Braintree Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hemel Hempstead Town
Hemel Hempstead Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2023
HEM
Hemel Hempstead Town
0 - 3
Oxford City
OXF
26%
25%
49%
42 49 7 0
07 Mar. 2023
BAT
Bath City
1 - 0
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
47%
26%
28%
42 43 1 0
04 Mar. 2023
EBB
Ebbsfleet United
0 - 0
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
69%
19%
12%
42 53 11 0
28 Feb. 2023
WEL
Welling United
0 - 1
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
41%
25%
34%
42 38 4 0
25 Feb. 2023
HEM
Hemel Hempstead Town
2 - 0
Havant & Waterlooville
HAV
28%
25%
48%
39 46 7 +3

Matches

Braintree Town
Braintree Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2023
BRA
Braintree Town
0 - 0
Weymouth
WEY
61%
22%
17%
47 37 10 0
07 Mar. 2023
OXF
Oxford City
2 - 2
Braintree Town
BRA
61%
21%
19%
47 49 2 0
04 Mar. 2023
BRA
Braintree Town
1 - 0
Hampton & Richmond
HAM
66%
20%
14%
47 36 11 0
25 Feb. 2023
FAR
Farnborough
0 - 1
Braintree Town
BRA
55%
24%
22%
46 49 3 +1
21 Feb. 2023
WEL
Welling United
0 - 2
Braintree Town
BRA
37%
25%
38%
45 40 5 +1
X