Helmond Sport vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
66.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
HEL
2 - 3
NEC
14%
21%
65%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
JON
2 - 0
HEL
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
HEL
0 - 2
BOS
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
PSV
1 - 1
HEL
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
HEL
2 - 2
TWE
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
4 - 4
WIL
34%
25%
40%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 3
FOR
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
UTR
24%
24%
52%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
ADO
3 - 1
FOR
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 2
PSV
9%
16%
75%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |