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Serie A. Matchday 26

Hellas Verona Milan
70 ELO 86
23% Tilt 29%
231º General ELO ranking 33º
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
26.5%
Hellas Verona
22.1%
Draw
51.4%
Milan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
Hellas Verona
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
51.4%
Win probability
Milan
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hellas Verona
+26%
+18%
Milan

Basic stats

52
48
POS
8
12
SOT
8
1
COR
0
2
GF
2
0
GC
13
17
FRK
70
86
ELO
1.3
1.9
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Hellas Verona
Their league position
Milan
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
10º
10º
79
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Inter
91
91
100%
Milan
79
79
100%
Atalanta
78
78
50%
Juventus
78
78
50%
Napoli
77
77
100%
Lazio
68
68
100%
Roma
62
62
50%
Sassuolo
62
62
50%
Sampdoria
52
52
100%
Hellas Verona
10º
45
45
10º
100%
Genoa
11º
42
42
11º
100%
Bologna
12º
41
41
12º
100%
Fiorentina
13º
40
40
13º
50%
Udinese
14º
40
40
14º
50%
Spezia
15º
39
39
15º
100%
Cagliari
16º
37
37
16º
50%
Torino
17º
37
37
17º
50%
Benevento
18º
33
33
18º
100%
Crotone
19º
23
23
19º
100%
Parma
20º
20
20
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Hellas Verona
Milan
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 100%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Hellas Verona
HLL
Milan
ACM
Man. Utd
MUD
Sassuolo
SAS
Man. City
MAC
West Ham
WHU
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
1%
X%
2%
ELO HLL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2021
BEN
Benevento
0 - 3
Hellas Verona
HLL
47%
27%
26%
1918 1829 -89 +21
27 Feb. 2021
HLL
Hellas Verona
1 - 1
Juventus
JUV
13%
19%
68%
1909 3478 -1569 +9
20 Feb. 2021
GEN
Genoa
2 - 2
Hellas Verona
HLL
51%
25%
24%
1906 2063 157 +3
15 Feb. 2021
HLL
Hellas Verona
2 - 1
Parma
PAR
56%
24%
20%
1898 1577 321 +8
07 Feb. 2021
UDI
Udinese
2 - 0
Hellas Verona
HLL
53%
25%
22%
1913 1994 81 -15

Matches

Milan
Milan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ACM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2021
ACM
Milan
1 - 1
Udinese
UDI
72%
18%
10%
2854 2014 840 -8
28 Feb. 2021
ROM
Roma
1 - 2
Milan
ACM
53%
26%
22%
2839 2960 121 +15
25 Feb. 2021
ACM
Milan
1 - 1
Crvena Zvezda
CRV
81%
13%
6%
2849 1411 1438 -8
21 Feb. 2021
ACM
Milan
0 - 3
Inter
INT
41%
28%
31%
2867 3147 -280 -20
18 Feb. 2021
CRV
Crvena Zvezda
2 - 2
Milan
ACM
16%
20%
64%
2876 1401 -1475 -7