Heist vs Tubize analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
HEI
1 - 0
ANT
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIS
4 - 0
HEI
42%
25%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
HEI
0 - 0
EUP
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LOM
1 - 2
HEI
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
HEI
1 - 2
CHA
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tubize
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
OOS
2 - 0
TUB
70%
19%
12%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
TUB
2 - 1
KSV
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TIE
0 - 3
TUB
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
STN
3 - 0
TUB
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TUB
0 - 3
VIS
37%
26%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -2 |