Heist vs Tienen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
LAL
0 - 5
HEI
24%
21%
55%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
HEI
0 - 2
PAT
41%
26%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
KVT
2 - 2
HEI
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
HEI
4 - 0
MAN
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LIE
2 - 0
HEI
54%
23%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tienen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
TIE
1 - 0
FBO
19%
22%
59%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
DEN
1 - 0
TIE
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
DES
3 - 0
TIE
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
TIE
3 - 1
KNO
25%
25%
49%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
CER
3 - 0
TIE
82%
12%
5%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |