Heist vs FCV Dender analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LOM
1 - 1
HEI
74%
17%
10%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
HEI
2 - 3
ANT
39%
26%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
TIE
4 - 1
HEI
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
HEI
0 - 1
WAA
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
TOU
3 - 1
HEI
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MON
3 - 0
DEN
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
DEN
2 - 0
LOM
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ANT
1 - 2
DEN
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
DEN
0 - 2
TIE
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
WAA
3 - 1
DEN
53%
24%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |