Heino vs TVC '28 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
37.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
11º
16º
12º
35
2º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 63 |
2º
|
88% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
88% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
67.5% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
78% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
64.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
64.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 35 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 32 |
12º
|
38% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
43% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
38% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 30 |
15º
|
56.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
38.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
VVO
2 - 1
HEI
80%
14%
7%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
HEI
3 - 2
LON
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BUI
2 - 0
HEI
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
AZS
1 - 0
HEI
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HEI
5 - 0
PEL
41%
23%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
TVC '28
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
TVC
4 - 1
PEL
56%
21%
24%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MAS
1 - 0
TVC
49%
20%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
TVC
0 - 3
QUI
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
EXC
5 - 2
TVC
76%
14%
9%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TVC
0 - 2
SDV
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |