Heino vs LONGA '30 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
41.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 2
HEI
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
RIG
1 - 1
HEI
57%
21%
23%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
HEI
2 - 1
RWG
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
LONGA '30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
LON
0 - 1
RWG
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BEM
2 - 2
LON
35%
23%
42%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LON
5 - 3
RIG
59%
20%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LON
3 - 2
ROH
21%
23%
57%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +3 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
DEB
1 - 2
LON
72%
17%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |