Heino vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
21.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
STE
0 - 2
HEI
47%
22%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
QUI
5 - 3
HEI
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
HEI
2 - 1
GER
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ORI
0 - 4
HEI
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
HEI
1 - 4
ROH
16%
18%
66%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
QUI
19%
20%
61%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GER
1 - 0
ALC
63%
20%
18%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 2
BVC
19%
20%
61%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TUB
3 - 2
ALC
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 0
RIG
57%
21%
22%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |