Heinenoord vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
71.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heinenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
VVG
1 - 1
HEI
32%
25%
44%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
HEI
5 - 0
MZC
90%
7%
3%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SHO
1 - 0
HEI
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
HEI
1 - 0
NIE
64%
19%
17%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ORA
1 - 3
HEI
59%
22%
20%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
ADO
4 - 1
EXC
48%
26%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
EXC
3 - 0
FEY
16%
23%
62%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
NEC
0 - 1
EXC
48%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 0
VIT
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 3
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |