Heider SV vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
68.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
KRO
2 - 1
HEI
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
TOD
3 - 1
HEI
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
HEI
0 - 0
ALT
47%
24%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 1
HEI
17%
20%
63%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
HEI
1 - 1
TUR
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
LUB
0 - 3
EBT
16%
24%
60%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
LUB
1 - 0
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MAG
0 - 2
LUB
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
LUB
1 - 2
HAN
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LUB
2 - 3
HAV
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |