Heider SV vs 1. FC Phönix Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
55.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
HEI
2 - 1
HOL
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
OTT
7 - 0
HEI
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
EIN
3 - 3
HEI
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
HEI
2 - 0
OTT
10%
16%
74%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +5 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
HEI
0 - 0
LSK
13%
18%
69%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Phönix Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
FCP
0 - 0
OTT
42%
23%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
EIN
4 - 0
FCP
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
PAN
0 - 5
FCP
17%
18%
65%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FCP
2 - 1
HOL
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FCP
1 - 0
HAM
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |