Heidenheim vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
47.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
F95
2 - 2
HEI
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
HEI
1 - 0
FCN
32%
25%
44%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
SSV
2 - 5
HEI
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
ING
3 - 0
HEI
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
HEI
3 - 5
HOL
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
FCU
1 - 1
ACH
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FCU
1 - 0
STP
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
MSV
1 - 1
FCU
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
LEV
4 - 1
FCU
68%
18%
13%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
FCU
3 - 1
SGF
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |