Heidelberg Utd vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidelberg Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
HEU
2 - 2
ELS
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
AVH
1 - 3
HEU
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
4 - 0
HEU
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
DAC
0 - 6
HEU
20%
20%
60%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
HUM
1 - 3
HEU
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2022 |
SOU
4 - 3
AVH
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
DAC
0 - 1
SOU
17%
19%
64%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SOU
3 - 0
POR
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 1
SOU
17%
20%
63%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
OAK
2 - 1
SOU
66%
20%
15%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |