Heidelberg Utd vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidelberg Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
DAN
2 - 1
HEU
31%
22%
47%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
KIN
2 - 1
HEU
22%
20%
59%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
DAC
0 - 1
HEU
26%
20%
54%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 1
HEU
29%
22%
49%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
HEU
3 - 1
ALM
81%
12%
7%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
CCF
0 - 2
SOU
9%
13%
78%
|
20 | 5 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
ALM
1 - 1
SOU
42%
22%
36%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
POR
1 - 1
SOU
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
OAK
0 - 0
SOU
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
SOU
5 - 2
ELS
74%
15%
12%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |